Predictions Details

A brief introduction into the Sharp Predictions Mechanic

Round lifecycle

Round = Prediction + Anticipation

1) Prediction: New round begins - You can start predicting.

2) Prediction phase ends/Anticipation phase starts: the current token price is captured, and predictions are not allowed anymore.

3) Anticipation Phase: Your job is done, house ensures the minimal payout is 1.75x, let it play out.

4) Round ends: The final price confirmation begins and it still can slightly fluctuate as everything is done on the chain. The final result is determined as the difference between the final and starting price and defines whether the round has mooned or doomed. The total pool is split relative to the size of the contribution among all participants who predicted correctly.

Pool

All participants who predict an asset will Moon or Doom (or both) will contribute to the same pool. Every round will have its own pool independent from other rounds. Participants can contribute to the pool during the Prediction phase. Keep in mind, the house ensures a minimal payout is 1.75x, while it can be 2x in certain conditions: - your prediction is less than a limit of 0.05 $SOL(0.005 $ETH on Eclipse) or equivalent - you are predicting alone or with someone on the same side without reaching the limit

Splitting the pool

After the round ends, all participants who predicted correctly will split the pool among themselves.

Example: 3 participants predicted Doom (all 2 $SOL), you (2 $SOL) and another (1 $SOL) predicted Moon. The payout for Doom side is x1.5 and for Moon side is x3. Here the house joins the game and adjusts it with 1.5 $SOL prediction on Moon side, updated payout is x1.75 for Doom and x2.33 for Moon side. The total pool size is therefore 10.5 $SOL. SOL mooned. To split the pool between you and the other participant we have to look at the contribution sizes - your 2 $SOL, another user 1 $SOL and house 1.5 $SOL. This means that you will get 2*2.33 = 4.66 $SOL, another user 2.33 and the house 3.495 $SOL payout.

Claiming your win

When you have predicted correctly, you need to claim your win as there aren't any automatic transfers after the round ends. Share your win on X to flex your earnings and invite others to join you, you will earn from predictions made by your followers. See more details in Referrals.

Misc tips

  • You can increase your added amount throughout the Prediction Phase

  • You can predict both Moon and Doom in the same round

  • You can switch between the different assets to make multiple predictions in parallel

  • Check out our regular rewards and events to earn more!

  • Keep in mind that like in other markets, you're competing with other traders. Use the on-site Discord chat to your advantage.

Next, we will have a closer look into every step

Last updated

Was this helpful?